Sunderland Wvs
Southampton W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunderland W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sunderland W 0-0 Southampton W
Original prediction
Sunderland W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.9% | 41.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.4% | 28.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.7% | 30.3% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sunderland W
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Sunderland W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00