Sunderland Wvs
Leicester City FC W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunderland W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sunderland W 3-1 Leicester City FC W
Original prediction
Sunderland W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.8% | 45.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 27.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.4% | 27.4% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Sunderland W
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Sunderland W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80