Sunderland Wvs
Bristol City W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunderland W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sunderland W 4-1 Bristol City W
Original prediction
Sunderland W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.3% | 36.5% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 29.7% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 44.8% | 33.8% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Sunderland W
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Sunderland W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00