Sunderland U21vs
Norwich City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunderland U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sunderland U21 3-1 Norwich City U21
Original prediction
Sunderland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 47.9% | 39.6% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.2% | 23.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 29.9% | 37.0% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Sunderland U21
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Sunderland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00