Sunderland U21vs
Ipswich Town U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunderland U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sunderland U21 4-2 Ipswich Town U21
Original prediction
Sunderland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.4% | 59.4% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.46 | 20.3% | 16.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.3% | 24.3% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–16%
Predicted outcome
Sunderland U21
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Sunderland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 20 · avg 2.20/4.00