Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vanløse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sundby 0-1 Vanløse
Original prediction
Vanløse
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.1% | 28.4% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 23.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.4% | 47.9% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Vanløse
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Vanløse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SundbyWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
VanløseDDWWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SundbyVanløse
51.9Attack55.6
44.4Defence66.7
37.0Form59.3
45.6Power61.9
1.12xG1.76