Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sundby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sundby 2-3 Ishøj
Original prediction
Sundby
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.1% | 53.9% | 12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 23.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.1% | 22.6% | -10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Sundby
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Sundby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SundbyLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
IshøjDWWLL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SundbyIshøj
46.7Attack30.0
46.7Defence36.7
33.3Form26.7
43.5Power33.6
1.97xG0.86