Sundbyvs
FC Midtjylland
COMPLETEDDenmark · DBU Pokalen · 9/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sundby 0-7 FC Midtjylland
Original prediction
FC Midtjylland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 29.02 | 3.2% | 32.3% | 29.2 pts |
| Draw | 9.41 | 9.7% | 20.6% | 10.9 pts |
| Away | 1.05 | 87.1% | 47.1% | -40.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80