Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brønshøj · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sundby 3-1 Brønshøj
Original prediction
Brønshøj
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 10:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.94 | 22.9% | 21.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 22.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.3% | 55.8% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Brønshøj
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Brønshøj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SundbyWLLWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BrønshøjWWDDW
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
SundbyBrønshøj
50.0Attack72.2
44.4Defence63.9
36.1Form69.4
45.0Power68.3
1.09xG2.38