Sundbyvs
ASA Aarhus
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA Aarhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sundby 1-0 ASA Aarhus
Original prediction
ASA Aarhus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.5% | 25.7% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.3% | 23.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.2% | 51.2% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
ASA Aarhus
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
ASA Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60