Sumsel Unitedvs
PSPS
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/26/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PSPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sumsel United 1-2 PSPS
Original prediction
PSPS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.3% | 36.0% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.7% | 27.6% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.1% | 36.4% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
PSPS
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
PSPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sumsel UnitedLDWLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PSPSWLLWW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sumsel UnitedPSPS
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power53.0
1.30xG1.46