Sumsel Unitedvs
Persiku Kudus
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/10/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sumsel United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sumsel United 5-1 Persiku Kudus
Original prediction
Sumsel United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.3% | 45.7% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.0% | 27.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.77 | 18.7% | 26.7% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sumsel United
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Sumsel United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60