Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qarabag · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sumqayıt 0-1 Qarabag, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sumqayıt 0-1 Qarabag
Original prediction
Qarabag
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Sumqayıt 0–1 Qarabag
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Qarabag
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Qarabag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SumqayıtLLLWL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
QarabagLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SumqayıtQarabag
34.3Attack89.8
64.8Defence65.7
52.8Form76.9
52.5Power75.9
0.70xG1.56