Sukhothai FCvs
Rasi Salai United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sukhothai FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sukhothai FC 5-1 Rasi Salai United
Original prediction
Sukhothai FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.8% | 39.6% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 25.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.8% | 35.4% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sukhothai FC
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Sukhothai FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60