Sukhothai FCvs
Port FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Port FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sukhothai FC 2-1 Port FC
Original prediction
Port FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.92 | 18.2% | 25.7% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.5% | 25.9% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 58.3% | 48.5% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Port FC
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Port FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60