Sukhothai FCvs
Buriram United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buriram United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sukhothai FC 1-3 Buriram United
Original prediction
Buriram United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.37 | 12.1% | 6.6% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.2% | 12.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 68.7% | 81.0% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–313%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Buriram United
Probability
81.0%
Model confidence
81.0%
Buriram United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80