Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suhareka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Suhareka are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while 2 Korriku are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Suhareka hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Liga E Pare, while Suhareka holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suhareka
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
9.0%
Suhareka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80