Suduva Marijampolevs
Panevėžys
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 3/15/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Suduva Marijampole are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Panevėžys are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduva Marijampole
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
70.0%
Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20