Suduva MarijampolevsKauno Žalgiris

Suduva Marijampole are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the A Lyga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.