GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/11/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Suduva Marijampole are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hegelmann Litauen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Suduva Marijampole

Probability

71.7%

Model confidence

71.7%

Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Suduva MarijampoleLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hegelmann LitauenWWDWL

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Suduva MarijampoleHegelmann Litauen
53.6Attack34.7
75.4Defence45.3
60.9Form30.7
63.5Power38.9
2.02xG0.44
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