Suduva Marijampolevs
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 9/13/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suduva Marijampole 0-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Original prediction
Suduva Marijampole
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.2% | 49.0% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.2% | 26.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.6% | 24.8% | -10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Suduva Marijampole
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80