GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 4/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Suduva Marijampole · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Suduva Marijampole are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FK Trakai are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduva Marijampole hold a 49.3-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.6% in the A Lyga, while Suduva Marijampole holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Suduva Marijampole

Probability

87.6%

Model confidence

87.6%

Suduva Marijampole has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Suduva MarijampoleDDLWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FK TrakaiDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Suduva MarijampoleFK Trakai
53.6Attack9.8
75.4Defence11.8
60.9Form5.9
63.5Power14.3
2.96xG0.30
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