Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Suduroy are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while TB are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduroy hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.5% in the 1. Deild, while Suduroy holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
79.5%
Model confidence
79.5%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00