Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Suduroy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while ÍF II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduroy hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the 1. Deild, while Suduroy holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
7.8%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40