1. Deild1. Deild
Saturday, 1 August 202615:00Updated today
Suduroy

Suduroy

Home
W
vs
15:00
B36 II

B36 II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Suduroy(42%)
Most likely exact score3-2
Win probability
Suduroy
42%
Draw
26%
B36 II
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Suduroy
99
B36 II
34
Defence
Suduroy
91
B36 II
91
Momentum
Suduroy
100
B36 II
100
Danger (xG)
Suduroy
3.60
B36 II
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.68 xG for Suduroy and 2.22 xG for B36 II — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 3-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.46), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.90 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 3-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 5 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Suduroy)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (B36 II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Suduroy)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (B36 II)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SuduroySuduroy
WWL
B36 IIB36 II
WL

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Suduroy42%
Draw26%
B36 II32%

Suduroy leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Suduroy Narrow Edge — Model Projects 3-2

Suduroy host B36 II in 1. Deild. Suduroy have recorded LLLDWW in recent matches while B36 II arrive with a run of LWLLWL. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.6 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.68 expected goals for Suduroy against 2.22 for B36 II — a clear advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Suduroy's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 58% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: 🔄 Head-to-Head Record Suduroy have won 4 of the last 10 meetings between these sides — a historically dominant record that the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying stats are otherwise close.

Why GoalVio backs this

Suduroy are generating a consistent xG advantage — 2.68 projected against 2.22 for B36 II. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.46 is the clearest signal in the model that Suduroy are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Suduroy's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If B36 II defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Suduroy fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 5 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Suduroy

Suduroy

W
@ NSÍ II
4 Jul 2026
40
W
@ EB / Streymur II
27 Jun 2026
20
L
vs ÍF II
16 May 2026
14
B36 II

B36 II

W
@ NSÍ II
27 Jun 2026
10
L
vs EB / Streymur II
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Suduroy vs B36 II?

GoalVio's model predicts Suduroy to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Suduroy vs B36 II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 3-2.

Will both teams score in Suduroy vs B36 II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Suduroy vs B36 II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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