Sudtirolvs
Wacker Innsbruck
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sudtirol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sudtirol 2-3 Wacker Innsbruck
Original prediction
Sudtirol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.8% | 43.1% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.9% | 25.9% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.3% | 31.0% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sudtirol
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Sudtirol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40