GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 3/25/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

SUD America are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atenas are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atenas

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SUD AmericaWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
AtenasLL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
SUD AmericaAtenas
27.1Attack49.1
53.1Defence57.9
27.1Form50.9
38.0Power53.6
0.70xG1.32
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