Suchitepéquezvs
Xelajú
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xelajú · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suchitepéquez 2-2 Xelajú
Original prediction
Xelajú
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.1% | 33.2% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 28.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 38.7% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Xelajú
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Xelajú has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80