Suchitepéquezvs
Mixco
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mixco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suchitepéquez 3-3 Mixco
Original prediction
Mixco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.9% | 20.8% | -22.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 19.6% | -8.3 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.2% | 59.6% | 30.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
30.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Mixco
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Mixco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SuchitepéquezLLDLD
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MixcoWLWLD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SuchitepéquezMixco
30.6Attack56.7
27.8Defence46.7
16.7Form53.3
28.7Power53.8
0.97xG2.42