Suchitepéquezvs
Deportivo San Pedro
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo San Pedro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Suchitepéquez 0-1 Deportivo San Pedro, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Suchitepéquez 1-1 Deportivo San Pedro
Original prediction
Deportivo San Pedro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.3% | 23.8% | -26.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 23.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.8% | 52.3% | 29.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
29.5 pts
Projected Score
Suchitepéquez 0–1 Deportivo San Pedro
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo San Pedro
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Deportivo San Pedro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20