Suchitepéquezvs
Cobán Imperial
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suchitepéquez · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suchitepéquez 3-2 Cobán Imperial
Original prediction
Suchitepéquez
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.6% | 38.5% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.0% | 29.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.4% | 32.3% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Suchitepéquez
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Suchitepéquez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00