Suchitepéquezvs
Aurora
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aurora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suchitepéquez 2-2 Aurora
Original prediction
Aurora
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.9% | 25.5% | -24.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 20.8% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.4% | 53.7% | 30.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
30.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Aurora
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60