GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · 7/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Subiaco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Subiaco are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Murdoch Melville are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Murdoch Melville hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Subiaco holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Subiaco

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

7.3%

Subiaco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SubiacoLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Murdoch MelvilleDLDLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SubiacoMurdoch Melville
54.0Attack56.7
27.0Defence30.0
27.0Form31.7
37.5Power41.7
2.47xG2.36
View match centre →