Stuttgart U19vs
Atlético Madrid U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stuttgart U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stuttgart U19 2-4 Atlético Madrid U19
Original prediction
Stuttgart U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 29.9% | 37.5% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.5% | 25.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.6% | 37.5% | -9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Stuttgart U19
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Stuttgart U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80