GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stuttgart II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Stuttgart II 3-3 SSV Jahn Regensburg

Original prediction

Stuttgart II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2839.4%44.7%5.3 pts
Draw3.6624.6%22.5%-2.0 pts
Away2.5036.0%32.7%-3.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–18%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Stuttgart II

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Stuttgart II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stuttgart IILLWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SSV Jahn RegensburgLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Stuttgart IISSV Jahn Regensburg
50.0Attack55.6
33.3Defence22.2
33.3Form22.2
41.9Power34.2
2.23xG1.74
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