Stuttgart IIvs
Hoffenheim II
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoffenheim II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stuttgart II 3-2 Hoffenheim II
Original prediction
Hoffenheim II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.1% | 30.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 26.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.9% | 42.6% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Hoffenheim II
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40