GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 10/24/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stuttgart II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Stuttgart II 1-2 Alemannia Aachen

Original prediction

Stuttgart II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.0229.8%42.3%12.4 pts
Draw3.6224.9%21.3%-3.6 pts
Away1.9945.3%36.4%-8.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Stuttgart II

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Stuttgart II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stuttgart IIWWDDD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Alemannia AachenWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Stuttgart IIAlemannia Aachen
56.7Attack50.0
40.0Defence46.7
46.7Form46.7
50.7Power48.3
1.97xG1.65
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