GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/28/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

West Torrens Birkalla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Sturt Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while West Torrens Birkalla are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and West Torrens Birkalla hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 66.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the South Australia NPL, while West Torrens Birkalla holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

West Torrens Birkalla

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

8.9%

West Torrens Birkalla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturt LionsWLWWL

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
West Torrens BirkallaWWDWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sturt LionsWest Torrens Birkalla
53.0Attack81.8
45.5Defence56.1
40.9Form68.2
46.5Power66.0
1.45xG2.67
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