GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/4/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturt Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Sturt Lions are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while West Adelaide are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.5 against 44.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturt Lions

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Sturt Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturt LionsLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
West AdelaideWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Sturt LionsWest Adelaide
53.0Attack60.6
45.5Defence33.3
40.9Form37.9
46.5Power44.9
2.35xG1.85
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