Sturt LionsvsFK Beograd

Sturt Lions are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FK Beograd are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Beograd hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the South Australia NPL, while FK Beograd holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.