GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/29/2025, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sturm Hauzenberg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (30.4 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm HauzenbergDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ErlbachWLDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sturm HauzenbergErlbach
25.0Attack46.7
33.3Defence73.3
24.0Form53.3
30.4Power58.6
0.67xG1.96
View match centre →