Sturm Graz Wvs
LASK W
COMPLETEDAustria · Frauenliga · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sturm Graz W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Sturm Graz W 2-0 LASK W, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sturm Graz W 5-0 LASK W
Original prediction
Sturm Graz W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.3% | 74.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.09 | 17.7% | 16.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 7.46 | 12.1% | 9.2% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
Sturm Graz W 2–0 LASK W
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sturm Graz W
Probability
74.4%
Model confidence
74.4%
Sturm Graz W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sturm Graz WWDLLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LASK WWLWDL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm Graz WLASK W
66.7Attack33.3
77.8Defence51.9
74.1Form29.6
72.5Power40.0
2.27xG0.54