Sturm Graz Wvs
Gintra-Universitetas W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 8/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sturm Graz W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sturm Graz W 2-1 Gintra-Universitetas W
Original prediction
Sturm Graz W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.1% | 48.0% | -32.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.63 | 13.7% | 25.6% | 11.9 pts |
| Away | 14.44 | 6.3% | 26.4% | 20.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sturm Graz W
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Sturm Graz W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60