Sturm Graz Wvs
Austria Wien W
COMPLETEDAustria · Frauenliga · 9/27/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Wien W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sturm Graz W 0-1 Austria Wien W, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sturm Graz W 0-2 Austria Wien W
Original prediction
Austria Wien W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.04 | 17.7% | 18.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 22.9% | 26.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 59.4% | 55.5% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Projected Score
Sturm Graz W 0–1 Austria Wien W
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Austria Wien W
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Austria Wien W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20