GGOALVIO

Sturm Graz logoSturm GrazvsSporting CP logoSporting CP

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sturm Graz are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting CP are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm GrazDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting CPWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm GrazSporting CP
22.2Attack53.3
50.0Defence63.3
22.2Form53.3
34.5Power58.1
0.78xG1.56
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