GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rangers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sturm Graz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rangers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 34.5 against 36.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rangers

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm GrazWLWWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
RangersWLWLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sturm GrazRangers
22.2Attack33.3
50.0Defence50.0
22.2Form16.7
34.5Power36.5
1.12xG1.24
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