Sturm GrazvsRaków Częstochowa

Sturm Graz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Raków Częstochowa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sturm Graz holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.