Sturm GrazvsNottingham Forest

Sturm Graz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Nottingham Forest are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.