Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 15:00
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

Home
WD
22
Full time
FK Košice

FK Košice

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Sturm Graz42%
FK Košice31%
Draw28%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Sturm Graz
42%
Draw
28%
FK Košice
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sturm Graz
54
FK Košice
73
Defence
Sturm Graz
66
FK Košice
27
Momentum
Sturm Graz
67
FK Košice
33
Danger (xG)
Sturm Graz
1.35
FK Košice
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Sturm Graz)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (FK Košice)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Sturm Graz)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FK Košice)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
WDLW
FK KošiceFK Košice
DL

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Sturm Graz42%
Draw28%
FK Košice31%

Sturm Graz leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sturm Graz head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (WD), while FK Košice arrive in mixed form (D). Sturm Graz have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for FK Košice over 1 games.

The model rates Sturm Graz's attack at 54/100 against a 27/100 FK Košice defence, and FK Košice's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Sturm Graz backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Sturm Graz have won 2 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. FK Košice have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Sturm Graz have generated 0.85 xG per game recently while conceding 2.29 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Sturm Graz to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Sturm Graz 4160%, Draw 2780%, FK Košice 3060%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Sturm Graz 0Draws 10 FK Košice
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Sturm Graz
D22
FK Košice

Recent form

Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

W
vs Pogon Szczecin
15 Jul 2026
10
D
vs FK Košice
3 Jul 2026
22
L
vs LNZ Cherkasy
30 Jun 2026
26
W
vs Brann
29 Jan 2026
10
xG 0.8
FK Košice

FK Košice

D
@ Sturm Graz
3 Jul 2026
22
L
@ AS Trencin
16 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sturm Graz vs FK Košice?

GoalVio's model predicts Sturm Graz to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz vs FK Košice?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs FK Košice?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sturm Graz vs FK Košice?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more