Sturm GrazvsFK Crvena Zvezda

Sturm Graz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Crvena Zvezda hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.